This week, we have a Fight Pass card in Singapore. Since it’s in Singapore, we must wake up at 4:30am ET to see it live. I’ve set the alarm and I will be up ready to sweat these early fights. DraftKings doesn’t have many big tournaments this week so that I will personally be playing more cash games and less GPPs. I will still have 3 GPP lineups but a lot of my investment that this week will probably be in money games. But, There’s still money to be won so here are a Couple of plays I like and my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Stack, Leon Edwards ($8,600) AND Donald Cerrone ($7,600)
Donald”Cowboy” Cerrone is never in a boring fight. Whether he wins or loses, his struggles generally score high as a whole along with the winner almost always pays off their price tag in DraftKings. I usually look for 100 total points should I stack a fight in money and I believe with this being a probable 5-rounds, it should score well over that. Should Edwards win this battle, it’s probably an early KO, and if that happens he will score very large. If Cerrone wins, then he can lock up a submission or a knockout and that will easily 10x his price tag of $7.6k. However, in any event, you have the winner at your lineup and the guaranteed 30-90 win bonus points if you do stack. I think this battle will be fun as long as it lasts and there should be a good number of points added up until one of these two get finished. When it does go 5 rounds, then these two should nevertheless get over 100 total points together with the pace Cowboy brings to the table.
GPP play of this week — Li Jingliang ($9,200)
Li Jingliang constantly puts on a show when he steps in the Octagon. He’s a quick pace fighter who scores very well on DraftKings if he wins. I believe he must be the fighter wherever this struggle ends up against Abe. In addition, I think he can complete this battle on the feet or the floor and if that happens he’d very likely pay off his high cost of $9.2k. He is the 3rd most expensive fighter on the card and I believe he’s the highest ceiling. That is what we want in GPPs is a ceiling, so that is the reason why Jingliang is my GPP drama of the week.
Underdog play of this week — Song Yadong ($7,900)
Song Yadong is my favourite DraftKings”underdog” this week. His betting line has shifted to him being a small favorite at -120 but he’s $400 cheaper than his competitor. I believe saving that $400 is a fantastic move in money or GPP games therefore that I like Yadong in all formats. I believe Yadong will seem to keep this battle on the feet and hunt for that KO win. If he can get the win, then I believe he should readily pay off that price tag and get at least 10x.
Fade of the week — Viviane Pereira ($8,800)
My main difficulty with Pereira is that she is too pricey. At $8.8k, I need at least 88 points out of her and I believe she desires get an end to do that. I really don’t see that happening and does Vegas using a +617 ITD line. She doesn’t strike at a high enough pace or territory sufficient takedowns to evaluate 88 points in my opinion. In her two UFC wins she held her competitor against the fence for a fantastic section of the fight and no points have been scored when that happens. If she does that again , there is no way she comes near 88 points in spite of a win. I will have a complete fade on Pereira this week and that I will pay up for different favorites instead.
If you would like my full-card DraftKings breakdown with investigation on each fight, my personal approaches & suggestions, and also my pick prediction for every struggle then you can discover that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks
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